In the opposition parties debate, the Sylvans considered whether they have no confidence in the UK's opposition party and disagreed.

Opposition parties debate – October 2022

The Sylvan opposition parties debate considered the following motion:

This house has no confidence in His Majesty’s most loyal opposition parties.

The debate took place on Monday, 3rd October.  Tom Warner proposed the motion and Rodrigo Aguilera opposed it.

The proposition supporting no confidence in the UK’s opposition parties

The proposer began by pointing out that he supports this motion with a heavy heart. The country needs a strong opposition party, and I defy anyone to portray the government as terrified by the opposition. We now have the Tories at their most complacent, yet this is not about how ropy the government is. The opposition parties include the Greens, SDLP, Alliance (NI), DUP, Alba, Sinn Fein, Plaid Cymru, LibDems, SNP and Labour. They add up to 293/650 seats in the House of Commons, and several don’t believe the UK should exist. How much effective power does this give them?

Labour has 200 seats, but internal divisions means they cannot effectively stop the Tories.  I come from Harwich on the Essex coast, a left behind place that had a UKIP shop on its high street.  Labour represented it until 2010, yet no longer has had a strong vision since the Tony Blair days.  They need Scottish seats or far more seats in England, and Keir Starmer isn’t the man to inspire voters.

The opposition against the opposition parties debate motion

The opposer argued that Labour is the only official opposition.  The conservative Daily Express has ‘faith’ in Tory candidates – the only means to support them.  Confidence must be backed by tangible results, otherwise it’s insanity.  Labour has a poll lead of 33%, on 54% versus 21% for the Tories.  Chancellor Kwasi Kwarteng’s mini budget tax cuts represent the most shocking economic mismanagement of this century.  Markets reacted negatively, asking who will pay for the cuts and leading to a government bond market crisis.  The Tory government has made a 12-year disaster, with wage growth of only 3.6% from 2010-19, among the lowest in the OECD.  Debt levels remain high, and food bank usage has increased.  Brexit has driven exports down from 2010 levels.  Moreover, the government has faced continued scandals.

Why should we have confidence in Labour under Keir Starmer?  He’s not Corbyn or Miliband, he won’t re-join the EU, nationalise industry or turn us into Soviet Russia.  He dealt with antisemitism.  Starmer’s economics align more with Tony Blair’s, whereas Liz Truss’s plan comes from 1992.  The Tories serve oligarchs and lie out of their teeth.  The UK as the laughing stock of Europe, with only the US taking more extreme positions.  Faith cannot inspire confidence in the Tories.

Floor speeches from the audience of the opposition parties debate

Floor speakers covered a number of different aspects of the topic.  Lack of confidence in the current government does not mean we should have confidence in the opposition.  The opposition includes other parties, and they collectively have not capitalised on Tory failings, partly due to apathy.  The opposition may as well re-align the deck chairs on the Titanic – the establishment run the country.  Tony Blair, Ian Pickford and other politicians have millions in wealth.  Some speakers had no confidence in any political party, which have all mismanaged energy production.  They pale in comparison to Singapore’s Lee Kuan Yew, who took a strategic view and the best ideas from everywhere, setting aside ideology.

The opposition must question and challenge, holding the government to account and providing a credible alternative.  The 80-seat majority makes this tougher, yet you do have challenges raised by Labour and the Tories have co-opted Labour policies.  However, in British politics oppositions don’t win elections, governments lose them.  Parties themselves are coalitions, and the opposition only needs to have a coherent alternative plan.  Who do we blame our issues on?  Labour blames the wealthy, though they contribute the most.  There was no opposition to vaccinations or mask mandates, with rubber-stamp approval of global bodies.  No new ideas coming from any party – Yes Minister a documentary not a comedy.

The opposition must offer solutions in order to provide confidence, but no one has a plan on energy.  Labour would win an election even without the current crisis, because Starmer is decent and people want rid of the government.  The one official opposition did push back on the government during Covid and supported Marcus Rashford.  Labour were a socialist party, but no longer.  Yet they support the poorest and have put forth new ideas on energy.  Parties other than Labour do not provide a credible opposition.  Starmer has forbidden ministers from joining picket lines, undermining strikers looking for better wages.  Labour needs to support strikers and provide an alternative management team.

The opposer’s rebuttal

In rebuttal, the opposer pointed out that voting decides the outcome, with Labour the more credible option.  Some have a high standard for confidence.  The country faces a crisis, and neither party can fix it overnight.  Biden is better than Trump.  Labour would have negotiated with the RMT over strikes – ‘good enough’.  Most people vote negatively, with Labour support high due to Tory weakness.  People know Labour is the opposition.  Labour meets a minimum standard of competence and are superior to the Tories.

The proposer’s closing speech

In closing, the proposer defined no confidence as per it would be in a vote in Parliament.  That means supporting the motion does not mean the opposition has no value.  In a time of change in the UK, we need radical solutions.  Starmer is a decent bloke, and so was Jim Callaghan – yet he was blown away by the storm of Margaret Thatcher.  Labour has radical positions on social justice, but otherwise take standard social democratic stances.

Result: in a razor-thin final vote, the opposition parties debate motion did not carry

The Sylvans concluded through the opposition parties debate that they have confidence in the UK’s opposition parties.

See information on other Sylvan debates here.